It’s time for our next 14-day moving average determinations and projections for infections and deaths from SARS-CoV-2 for the United States. We use the Worldometers aggregators data set to make our projections of future total infections and deaths since it includes data from the Department of Veterans Affairs, the U.S Military, federal prisons and the Navajo Nation.
14-day moving averages of SARS-CoV-2 deaths and infections
| 9/26/20 | 9/12/20 | 8/28/20 | 8/14/20 | 7/31/20 | |
| Average Deaths Per Day | 787 | 823 | 963 | 1,050 | 1,070 |
| Average Infections Per Day | 40,657 | 39,951 | 43,884 | 54,597 | 66,748 |
In the United States the SARS-CoV-2 deaths have decreased in each of the last four previous 14-day periods. There were 36 fewer deaths per day in the last 14 days. However, in the last 14 days, the number of infections has increased by 706 infections per day.
As of 9/26/20 we have had 208,440 deaths and 7,244,184 SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States. This represents 22% of the infections and 21% of the deaths in the world from SARS-CoV-2. Twenty-two states in the United States have greater than 100,000 infections and 26 states have greater than 2,000 deaths. Only 37 other countries have greater than 100,000 infections and only 38 countries have more than 2,000 deaths.
Our new projections for the United States are that by October 4, 2020, we will have had 214,696 total deaths and 7,569,440 infections.
Our new projections for the United States are that by November 4, 2020, we will have had 239,093 total deaths and 8,829,807 total infections.
David C. Wright, M.D. 