Month: August 2020

It’s time for our next 14-day moving average determinations and projections for infections and deaths from SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) for the United States. We use the Worldometers aggregators data set to make our projections of future total infections and deaths since it includes data from the Department of Veterans Affairs, the U.S. Military, federal prisons and the Navajo Nation.

14-Day Moving Averages of SARS-CoV-2 Deaths and Infections

	8/28/20	8/14/20	7/31/20	7/17/20
Average deaths per day	963*	1,050	1,070	714
Average infections per day	43,884**	54,597	66,748	61,512

The SARS-CoV-2 infections and subsequent deaths were decreasing in each of two previous 14-day periods. In the last 14 days, the number of infections has decreased by 10,713 infections per day and average deaths per day has decreased by 87 deaths per day.

As of 8/28/20 we have had 185,901 deaths and 6,096,235 SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States. Our new projections for the United States are that by October 4, 2020, we will have had 222,383 total deaths and 7,719,943 infections. We also project that by November 4, 2020, we will have had 252,949 total deaths and 9,101,347 total infections.

It’s time for our next 14-day moving average determinations and projections for infections and deaths from SARS-CoV-2 for the United States. We use the Worldometers aggregators data set to make our projections of future total infections and deaths since it includes data from the Department of Veterans Affairs, the U.S Military, Federal Prisons and the Navajo Nation.

                           14-Day Moving Averages of SARS-CoV-2  Infections and Deaths

	8/14/20	7/31/20	7/17/20
Average Deaths Per Day	1,050	1,070	724	20 fewer deaths per day compared with 7/31/20
Average Infections Per Day	54,597	66,748	61,512	12,157 fewer infections per day compared with 7/31/20

The SARS-CoV-2 infections and subsequent deaths were increasing in each of two previous 14-day periods. In the last 14 days, the number of infections has decreased by 12,157 infections per day and average deaths per day has decreased by 20 deaths per day.

As of 8/14/20 we have had 171,535 deaths and 5,476,266 SARS CoV-2 infections in the United States.

Our new projections for the United States are that by October 4, 2020, we will have had 225,085 total deaths (a decrease in projected deaths from 226,297 total deaths) and 8,260,713 infections (a decrease in projected infections from 9,044,509 total infections).

Our new projections for the United States are that by November 4, 2020, we will have had 257,635 total deaths and 9,953,220 total infections.